IBN Poll results: Alliances will decide the winner

    UPA will emerge as the biggest coalition after 2009 Loksabha elections but will fall short by 40-60 seats to get absolute majority. According to IBN opinion Poll, CPM, BSP, AIADMK, TDP, SP and TMC will decide the next PM after polls. Political alliances in Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu will play crucial role in deciding the winner. If Congress can successfully form alliances with AIADMK and Trinamool Congress in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal, UPA will once again emerge as winner after 2009 general elections.     IBN Opinion Poll results:     1. UPA: 215-235 seats.     2. NDA:165-185 seats     3. Left front: 35-45 seats     4. Others: 90-110 seats.     Important points:     1. UPA lost 7% vote share while NDA gained just 1% share.     2. Congress will win in 170 seats while BJP will win in 135 seats.     3. Left will lose some seats due to setbacks in Kerala.     4. UPA will get some shocks in Andhra Pradesh due to TDP-TRS alliance.     5. Congress is enjoying huge popularity among SCs and STs.     Survey was held in January and margin of error is high due to delimitation process.       … [Read more...]

Congress in Kerala but left in West Bengal

    UDF will make massive gains in kerala but Left front will once again come out strongly from West Bengal, according to IBN nationwide opinion poll. Congress is the biggest beneficiary in kerala which failed to even open account in the 2004 Loksabha polls. Trinamool Congress is the biggest gainer in West Bengal but Left is still enjoying good lead but lost 8% of votes.     Kerala:     1. UDF is much ahead in kerala with 47% of votes.     2. LDF will lose maximum number of seats with just 39% of votes.     3. Only 58% of voters are satisfied with LDF performance.     4. BJP will poll just 8% of votes.     According to survey, Left front will see massive setbacks in Kerala in the 2009 Loksabha polls.     West Bengal:     1. Left Front is still the winner with just 46% of votes.     2. Trinamool Congress is the biggest gainer with 27% of votes.     3. Congress can get only 15% of votes.     4. Left Front is losing popularity among poor and young voters.     5. But 69% of voters are satisfied with Government.     According to IBN survey, Left front will see massive losses in Kerala and significant losses in West Bengal. Going by this survey, Left front may not get more than 35 seats in these 2 crucial states.       … [Read more...]